As many of you know, I write a regular column for The Waterloo Region Record. The column below is my take on the ongoing North Korean nuclear controversy.
North Korea's recent nuclear test sent shock waves around the world. The Stalinist hermit nation has a way of unnerving a number of world leaders, especially in Washington, D.C.
The underground nuclear explosion on Monday was not the first North Korean nuke test, and it won't be the last. Back in 2006, Pyongyang conducted a similar test using a slightly smaller device.
There has been a lot of tough talk coming from President Barack Obama's administration over this latest nuclear test. "North Korea's programs pose a grave threat to the peace and security of the world," Obama said following the detonation.
But don't expect Washington to attack Pyongyang any time soon. Obama's predecessor, George W. Bush, had an even more belligerent attitude toward North Korea than Obama, yet there wasn't anything he could do to halt North Korea's provocative sabre-rattling. This was due, in large part, to American forces being overextended in other parts of the world, namely Iraq and Afghanistan.
We Canadians tend to view events in North Korea with a sense of uneasiness. North Korea frightens us, too. We know that it's a totalitarian nation that does not permit dissent. We're aware that it has allocated a great deal of money and resources to its nuclear program, despite the many people starving within its borders. And the cult-like nature of its government -- often shrouded in secrecy, with no accountability to its own people or the rest of the world -- is antithetical to everything we believe.
Yet it's also important to remember that North Korean belligerence is not simply the work of a bunch of insane Stalinists with a death wish.
What we are witnessing now is part of a protracted Cold War struggle that has been going on more than 60 years now.
The Korean Peninsula has long been one of the most militarized parts of the world. North Korean leaders have pointed to the large-scale American military presence in the region as the reason behind their actions. Even this week's nuclear test, they insist, occurred in response to U.S. warships cruising near North Korea's coasts.
Officials in Pyongyang do not see themselves as the provocateurs. To them, Washington is the threat to peace and security in the region, no matter who is president.
North Korea's dictator, Kim Jong Il, may be a tyrant and his sanity is often in doubt. But he is also shrewd. His provocative actions have exposed the impotence of Washington at this moment in time. And the Chinese government, North Korea's longtime sponsor and underwriter, has no interest in deterring Pyongyang's nuclear program.
You hear a lot of nervous talk these days about North Korea being on the verge of starting a nuclear war in the region. From the standpoint of the Stalinists who run that country, the reality is quite different. They regard their missile and nuclear programs as essential parts of their self-defence.
Don't be too quick to believe the apocalyptic doomsayers. What we are witnessing now in the troubled Korean Peninsula is not the beginning of World War III. It is, rather, the latest chapter in a Cold War stalemate that has been in place since the end of the Second World War.
That stalemate will not be broken any time soon. When the Cold War ended in the early 1990s, the ripples were scarcely felt in the towns and villages of North Korea. Today, almost 20 years later, one of the Cold War's last remaining conflicts -- the struggle in the Korean Peninsula -- shows no signs of letting up.
Andrew Hunt is an associate professor of history at the University of Waterloo.